Pierre Poilievre Polling Strong

A Rising Force in Canadian Politics


12/27/20232 min read

Pierre Poilievre, the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, has been making waves in the political landscape. His approval ratings and the Conservative Party’s standing in the polls have seen a significant surge.

A Promising Leader

Poilievre officially became the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada in September 2022. He has been a Member of Parliament for the Ottawa riding of Carleton since 2004, and at the age of 25, he was the youngest MP in Parliament. His leadership has been advantageous for the Conservative Party, which has been trying to displace the Trudeau government.

Approval Ratings and Poll Performance

As per the Angus Reid poll for August 2023, Poilievre’s favorable rating stands at 36%, while 52% hold a negative opinion about him. Despite the higher negative rating, the public perception of Poilievre has improved. His support is particularly robust in Alberta and Saskatchewan, while he garners the least favor in Quebec, with just a 24 percent approval rating.

The Conservatives under Poilievre have seen a massive surge in acceptance in the last couple of months. As per the latest data, the Conservatives are now 10 points ahead of the Liberals. The voting intention towards the Conservatives has witnessed a massive gain, with the party positioned to win nearly 180 seats while the Liberals’ tally could fall below 100 seats.

Poilievre vs. Trudeau

In the recent Abacus Data polls, Poilievre and the Conservatives are leading over Trudeau and the Liberals by 36%-29%. Poilievre has a significant lead over Trudeau as the preferred prime minister. He also outperforms both Trudeau and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh in most of the leadership criteria tested, including the management of key issues such as housing, cost of living, and economic management.

Challenges Ahead

Despite the promising numbers, a Conservative majority is not guaranteed yet. The Conservatives still face a significant vote efficiency problem. The weakness in the Conservative’s nine-point lead lies not in its magnitude but in its distribution. The Conservative vote is concentrated in the West, and they need to make significant gains in seat-rich central Canada.

In conclusion, Pierre Poilievre’s rise in the polls indicates a shifting political landscape in Canada. His leadership has invigorated the Conservative Party, and his personal appeal has resonated with many Canadians. However, the road to a Conservative majority is still fraught with challenges. It remains to be seen how Poilievre and his party navigate these challenges in the lead-up to the next Canadian election scheduled for 2025.